Bitcoin Price Battles 200-Day EMA With $91.2K Fib Level as Next Major Hurdle

Bitcoin is back at $84,000 with an intraday recovery of 1.33%, currently trading at $84,823 with a 24-hour high at $85,496, sustaining above the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level. 

Bitcoin struggles to drive the recent breakout rally. Will this bullish struggle lead to a longer consolidation, or is the $91,000 mark inevitable? Let’s find out.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In the daily chart, the BTC price trend showcases a quick bullish reversal from $76,722. The recovery line surpasses the overhead resistance trend line and the 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level. 

Floating above the recently surfaced resistance support level at $83,308, BTC is preparing to take off. However, the bullish recovery faces opposition from the 200-day exponential moving average line acting as the dynamic resistance. 

With the bullish recovery, the Bitcoin price is struggling to avoid a death cross within the 50 and 200-day EMA lines. However, the recovery run is likely to continue to the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement level near the 100-day EMA line. 

This crucial resistance is priced near $87,700. Supporting the bullish chances, the recent breakout run resulted in a positive crossover in the MACD and Signal lines.

In case of a bullish breakout, the BTC price trend will likely continue to the 50% Fibonacci level at $91,200.  On the flip side, the crucial support for Bitcoin remains at $83,300. 

Will High-Leveraged Long Positions Fuel BTC Recovery?

As the broader market conditions remain uncertain despite the recent breakout, the Bitcoin open interest drops by 1.69% to $56.94 billion. This reflects a minor decline in the trader’s interest in Bitcoin derivatives, while the funding rate remains positive. 

Currently, it remains at 0.0063%, maintaining an overall optimistic viewpoint. Notably, in the past 12 hours, the long positions in Bitcoin derivatives have witnessed a recent spike. 

The long positions account for 51.14%, driving the long-to-short ratio to 1.0467%. Thus, the derivatives traders anticipate a bullish recovery in Bitcoin.

Written by
Sahil Mahadik

As a full-time trader with over three years of hands-on experience in the financial markets, I have honed an exceptional proficiency in technical analysis, which is the cornerstone of my daily monitoring of price fluctuations in leading assets and indices. My journey into trading began with a deep fascination for financial instruments, and this curiosity naturally expanded into the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies. I am currently contributing to CryptoNewsZ and have also written for Coingape, The Coin Republic and TheMarketPeriodical. I am driven by my passion for the markets and want to explore new opportunities, I analyze emerging trends and strategies to get maximum returns in traditional and crypto markets.