As the crypto markets approach the monthly close, the bears seem to be gaining the upper hand. The Bitcoin price slides below $89,000, while the Ethereum price trades near the $ 3,000 psychological barrier. In the meantime, Cardano is heading towards a make-or-break area, with the price hovering around $0.35 after a sharp pullback from the 2025 highs.
Besides, ADA’s strength appears less convincing against Bitcoin, as ADA/BTC remains trapped in a long downtrend. The focus now is whether the ADA price can defend the $0.3 to $0.35 demand zone, a region that has previously triggered rebounds, or whether sellers may initiate a deeper retest to $0.28.
ADA Price Enters a Decisive Phase
Cardano (ADA) price is trading near $0.356 on the weekly chart after a steady slide from the 2025 highs. Price is now pressing into a well-tested demand band around $0.30–$0.35, which previously acted as a base for rebounds. This zone matters in the monthly close because holding it can stabilize sentiment and invite dip-buying, while a breakdown would signal fading confidence. Momentum has softened, but buyers still have a chance to defend the structure.
The chart shows ADA losing upside traction and drifting below the mid-range, with the green band acting as a broader trend corridor that has started to weaken. The horizontal demand block around $0.30–$0.35 is the immediate cushion, while the next major downside marker sits near $0.282. On the upside, ADA needs to reclaim $0.42 to reduce breakdown risk and shift focus back toward $0.50. The MACD remains negative, hinting that sellers still control momentum.
Cardano Relative Strength Against Bitcoin is Still Weak
Cardano’s ADA/BTC pair shows why ADA’s recent moves can feel weaker than they look in dollars. On the weekly chart, price is hovering near 0.0000040 BTC, still trapped inside a long, descending channel that has guided the trend since the 2021 peak. This matters in the monthly close because it reflects whether capital is rotating into ADA or staying concentrated in Bitcoin. Unless the pair stabilises and breaks its downtrend structure, ADA rallies in USD may struggle to sustain.
The chart highlights a persistent series of lower highs within the channel, keeping ADA’s relative strength capped. The current level around 0.0000040 sits near a key base, suggesting buyers are trying to defend a floor. A breakdown below this region would extend the bearish structure and signal further underperformance versus Bitcoin. For a shift in narrative, ADA/BTC needs to reclaim the channel’s midline first, then challenge the upper boundary. Until then, rebounds are likely corrective rather than trend-changing.
What’s Next for Cardano (ADA) Price?
Cardano’s next move hinges on how it behaves into the monthly close around a high-stakes demand zone. On the USD chart, ADA is sitting near $0.356 and leaning on the $0.30–$0.35 support band. If buyers defend this area and ADA pushes back above $0.42, the market can start pricing in a steadier recovery toward $0.50. But if ADA loses this base—and especially if it slips under $0.282—the chart shifts from “pullback” to “breakdown,” increasing downside risk.
The bigger tell is the ADA/BTC chart. ADA remains stuck in a long downtrend near 0.0000040 BTC, meaning it still isn’t consistently beating Bitcoin. For ADA bulls, a sustainable rally likely needs relative strength to improve, not just a short-lived bounce in USD. Until then, the most realistic expectation is volatility around support, with the monthly close acting as the key signal for whether ADA stabilizes—or weakens further—into February.
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